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연구정보

연구정보

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연구보고서

Are House Prices Rising Too Fast in China?

Ashvin Ahuja, Lillian Cheung, Gaofeng Han, Nathan Porter and Wenlang Zhang 2011.01.11

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[Working Paper 08/2010]
(9 December 2010)

 

Abstract
Sharp increase in house prices combined with the extraordinary lending growth in Mainland China during 2009 has led to concerns of an emerging real estate bubble. We find that, for China as a whole, the current levels of house prices do not seem significantly higher than would be justified by underlying fundamentals. However, there are signs of overvaluation in some cities’ mass-market and luxury segments. Unlike advanced economies before 2007-8, prices have tended to correct frequently in China. Given persistently low real interest rates, lack of alternative investment and mortgage-to-GDP trend, rapid property price growth in China has, and will continue to have, a structural driver.

 


[관련자료]
학술보고서 : Are House Prices Rising Too Fast in Hong Kong SAR?

학술보고서 : Can Rising Housing Prices Explain China’s High Household Saving Rate?

출처 HKMA
원문링크 https://www.hkma.gov.hk/eng/index.shtml
첨부파일
키워드

price misalignment financial stability leverage cycle

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