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Analyzing Coalition in China's Policy Formulation: Reforming the Role of State Owned Enterprises in China's Energy Sector
Brian Efird, Leo Lester and Ben Wise 2016-07-06
Abstract
We focus on the elite decision-making process in China, analyzing the formation of coalitions around particular policy options. We apply a framework that simulates collective decision-making processes (CDMP): the KAPSARC Toolkit for Behavioral Analysis (KTAB). KTAB facilitates the application of a Spatial Model of Politics, an open source model similar to Bueno de Mesquita's (1997) Expected Utility Model and the Senturion model (Abdollahian, et al 2006). KTAB provides a framework to understand logical consequences of subjective data inputs, enabling contrasting scenarios to be analyzed. We examine the interactions of actors' interests that drive China to reform its energy sector policies, in particular the structure of the Chinese National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC). In the case of private companies' entry into energy markets in China, we find that little reform is likely. The inertia of key actors holds back the potential for a significant opening of the energy sector. Despite the erosion of CNPC's political clout, there is little consensus for major reform to China's market position.
이전글 | [중국-베이징] 한국쌀 중국 인터넷몰 판매현황, 입점 시 필요자료 조사 | 2016-07-06 |
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다음글 | Cheung Kong Property Eyes Rebound | 2016-07-06 |