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Revisiting the Macroeconomic Impact of Oil Shocks in Asian Economies
Juncal Cunado, Soojin Jo 2015-06-30
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This paper analyzes the macroeconomic impact of oil shocks in four of the largest oil-consuming Asian economies, using a structural vector autoregressive model. We identify three different types of oil shocks via sign restrictions: an oil supply shock, an oil demand shock driven by global economic activity and an oil-specific demand shock. The main results suggest that economic activity and prices respond very differently to oil price shocks depending on their type. In addition, a country’s oil-importing and -exporting status in the world oil market affects the transmission of shocks. Finally, subsample analysis shows a possible structural break in Japan and South Korea for all three types of oil shocks.
이전글 | 미래 먹거리 의료산업, 신흥시장 중심으로 수출 확대해야 | 2015-06-30 |
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다음글 | Can Innovation Help U.S. Manufacturing Firms Escape Import Competition from China? | 2015-06-30 |