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Long-run Effects of the Korea-China Free-Trade Agreement
Sunghyun Kim, Serge Shikher 2015-07-07
Abstract
This paper uses a 53-country 15-industry computable general equilibrium model of trade to analyze the effects of the Korea-China free trade agreement on the Korean economy, the manufacturing sector in particular. The model is based on Yaylaci
and Shikher (2014) which uses the Eaton-Kortum methodology to explain intra-industry trade. The model predicts that the Korea-China FTA will increase Korea-China manufacturing trade by 56%, manufacturing employment in Korea by 5.7% and China by 0.55%. The model also predicts significant reallocation of employment across industries with the Food industry in Korea losing jobs and other industries there gaining jobs, with the Medical equipment industry gaining the most. There will be some trade diversion from the ASEAN countries, as well as Japan and the United States.
이전글 | 세계 건설시장 동향 및 시사점 | 2015-07-07 |
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다음글 | 세계가 Next China 찾을 때 중국은 ‘진정한 세계의 공장’ 꿈꾼다 | 2015-07-07 |