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연구정보

연구정보

국내외 연구기관에서 발표된 중국 연구 자료를 수집하여 제공합니다.

연구보고서

Examining the Impact of Home Purchase Restrictions on China’s Housing Market

Zhentong Lu, Sisi Zhang, Jian Hong 2021-04-13

This paper studies the impact of home purchase restrictions on China's housing market. We estimate a structural model of household preference for housing, real estate developers’ pricing decisions, and equilibrium market outcome in five large cities. By comparing the estimation results from pre- and post-policy intervention, we find that after home purchase restrictions are implemented, overall housing demand in most cities becomes weaker and less price elastic; meanwhile, real estate developers face higher holding costs and thus are willing to lower prices and sell more quickly. Counterfactual analyses show that in some cities, alternative policy designs that cause less structural change of demand could improve consumer welfare and social welfare better than the implemented policy.

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