I. Prospects for Denuclearization and Peace on the Korean Peninsula

• Dr. Jia mentions that the previous international sanctions imposed against North Korea have not managed to accomplish, and the increasing tension between the United States and China, and the Russia-Ukraine war in progress make it harder to solve the denuclearization issue. China and Russia now publicly urge the international community to “consider North Korea’s legitimate concerns and lift some sanctions.”

• As China and Russia close cooperate in addressing the North Korean nuclear crisis, North Korea assumes “the two countries are likely to resist additional sanctions against North Korea even in the extreme circumstances.” He predicts that “the chance for North Korea to denuclearize is likely to decrease even further” as North Korea has toughened its position toward the U.S., resumed missile tests in recent months, and is actively preparing for another nuclear test.