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Using machine learning to measure financial risk in China
Alexander Al-Haschimi, Apostolos Apostolou, Andres Azqueta-Gavaldon, Martino Ricc 2023-02-07
Since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), financial risks in China have been accumulating. Credit to the nonfinancial sector, as a percentage of GDP, has increased at a more rapid pace than in any other major emerging market, and it soared above that of major advanced economies. Rising debt levels have been observed both in the household and in the corporate sector with leverage being particularly high in the real estate sector. Risks also arise from over-reliance on short-term funding in some sectors, the opacity of the shadow banking sector, and hidden risks in traditional banking operations. Moreover, additional headwinds such as international trade disputes, the COVID-19 pandemic, geopolitical tensions, policy uncertainty regarding the future growth model for China, and regulatory changes in key sectors further complicate the landscape for financial market participants.
| 이전글 | 2023년 중국경제 이슈와 전망 | 2023-02-07 |
|---|---|---|
| 다음글 | The Stock Connect to China | 2023-02-07 |
