반복영역 건너뛰기
지역메뉴 바로가기
주메뉴 바로가기
본문 바로가기

연구정보

연구정보

국내외 연구기관에서 발표된 중국 연구 자료를 수집하여 제공합니다.

연구보고서

Is Hong Kong still an entrepôt under the Sino-U.S. trade war?

Chong, Terence Tai Leung and Lo, Vincent Pok Ho 2024-04-30

This paper studies the Hong Kong economy from a trade intermediary’s perspective. Using a structural vector autoregression (SVAR) framework, we discover that trade-related external shocks mainly affect the economy through re-exports channel over the offshore trade channel. We observe that re-exports shock does not transmit to the real economy through employment channel. A puzzling phenomenon is that trade-related employment has been in decline since 2008. Moreover, we notice that although the Sino-U.S. trade war exerted much downward pressure on economic growth between 2018 and 2019, the trade intermediary sector swiftly recovered in 2020, reflecting the versatility of the external trade sector in Hong Kong.

목록