연구정보
Home 연구정보
국내외 연구기관에서 발표된 중국 연구 자료를 수집하여 제공합니다.
연구보고서
Comparing China’s GDP Statistics with Coincident Indicators
Aaron Mehrotra and Jenni Pääkkönen 2011-02-24
[BOFIT Discussion Papers 1/2011]
(18.2.2011)
Abstract
We use factor analysis to summarize information from various macroeconomic indicators, effectively producing coincident indicators for the Chinese economy. We compare the dynamics of the estimated factors with GDP, and compare our factors with other published indicators for the Chinese economy. The indicator data match the GDP dynamics well and discrepancies are very short. The periods of discrepancies seem to correspond to shocks affecting the growth process as neither autoregressive models for GDP itself nor various coincident indicators are able to forecast them satisfactorily.
[관련자료]
최신중국동향 : Chinese GDP up 10.3 % last year
최신중국동향 : <中国>10年GDP統計と過去5ヵ年規画概括
이전글 | 中国の対外投資トレンド2010 (大型M&A、非在来型資源、中南米へのラッシュ他) | 2011-02-24 |
---|---|---|
다음글 | An Analysis of Import-Export Procedures and Processes in China | 2011-02-24 |